Alpha Pod flow intelligence
Not every options print is a signal. Most aren't.
Alpha Pod runs 7 independent detection modules against the full OPRA options tape. Spread detection, tiered scoring, multi-signal context scoring, and round-trip suppression filter institutional hedges and noise before anything reaches your feed — isolating true directional flow from the institutional tape.
Pipeline
Flow scanner → Tiered scoring → Spread detection → IV context → EOD netting → OI positioning → 20-day tracking
71%
of flagged contracts peaked above +5% profit within 5 trading days
Rule performance
Consistency (profit rate) vs magnitude (avg peak). Bubble size = signal count.
Top-right = highest consistency + highest peak profit
Ranked by profit rate
Signal anatomy
Contract performance by signal type. Profitable* = peaked above +5% within 5 days.
Call buysn=1,326
Bullish — buying calls at the ask
Profitable*72%
Peak contract profit+58%
Still profitable at close31%
Hit +50%35%
Doubled (+100%)18%
Put buysn=341
Bearish — buying puts at the ask
Profitable*70%
Peak contract profit+49%
Still profitable at close33%
Hit +50%34%
Doubled (+100%)16%
Put sellsn=861
Bullish — selling puts at the bid (stock metrics)
Avg stock move (5d)+6.4%
Avg stock move (10d)+8.1%
Call sellsn=26
Bearish — selling calls at the bid (stock metrics)
Avg stock move (5d)+3.9%
Avg stock move (10d)+4.1%
Deeper look
| Sector | n | Profitable | Avg peak |
|---|
| Technology | 586 | 74% | +62% |
| Consumer Cyclical | 153 | 60% | +33% |
| Financial Services | 131 | 68% | +37% |
| Industrials | 123 | 81% | +66% |
| Communication Services | 94 | 77% | +80% |
| Healthcare | 90 | 52% | +42% |
| Basic Materials | 65 | 72% | +48% |
| Energy | 60 | 82% | +69% |
| Utilities | 20 | 75% | +25% |
| Consumer Defensive | 12 | 58% | +23% |
Capturing the move
The signals consistently identify contracts that spike — 71% peaked profitable within 5 days. The key for members is timing the exit.
Still profitable at close
32%
Avg contract: +56% peak →
-10% at close.
Median time to peak: 2 days.
Most of the move happens within 48 hours of alert.
0–7 DTE
Time to peak2d
Peaked profitable74%
Avg peak+117%
Fastest decay — exit same day or next
8–30 DTE
Time to peak2d
Peaked profitable73%
Avg peak+61%
Sweet spot — most consistent returns
30+ DTE
Time to peak2d
Peaked profitable69%
Avg peak+36%
Slower theta — wider exit window
Contract lifecycle: peak vs close over 20 days
Peak gain (hindsight) Close return
Strategy simulator
Simulated: +50% target, -30% SL, +10% B/E, call buys, $500/trade
+162.2%
$26,221 from $10,000
Win rate30.1%
Avg return+0.12%
Max DD-30.3%
Trades1,326
399 wins
319 B/E
531 stopped
77 held
Customize this simulation →
Methodology
· Peak gain uses daily contract highs from Polygon — the highest traded price, not a quote.
· "Profitable" = contract peaked above +5% within the horizon, inclusive of a slippage hurdle for bid-ask spreads.
· Best potential exit is the cumulative max contract price — it represents hindsight, not achievable return without profit-taking.
· Day 0 (intraday on alert day) not included. Tracking begins next trading day.
· Expired or dead contracts assigned -100% loss (survivor bias correction).
· Deduplication: same ticker + direction within 60 minutes collapsed into one signal.
· Data range: Jan 21, 2026 – Apr 02, 2026. Generated April 04, 2026 09:26 PM.