Daily Brief December 12, 2025

Out With the Old, In With the New

Out with the Mag 7, in with the Russell 2000. IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) is breaking out to all-time highs with barely a peep from the mainstream media, while the Mag 7 struggle to gain momentum.

It’s not just small caps leading the charge. RSP (the Equal Weight S&P 500 ETF) is also breaking out above ATHs on meaningful volume. This signals a clear regime shift: move over Mag 7, the other 493 stocks in the S&P and the 2,000 stocks in the Russell want their shot at prime time. AKA: Rotation.

For the next few weeks, my focus is on anything but NVDA, META, MSFT, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG, and TSLA. Instead, I am looking at everything else.

I remain keen on high-beta names, specifically in quantum and energy (QSI, QBTS, IREN, EOSE). Other small-cap names look excellent as well (JOBY, OPEN, ACHR).

Beyond equities, Crypto looks ready after a tumultuous few months. BTC looks especially primed for a move higher; price is getting tight on the daily with multiple closes above the 8 and 21 EMAs. The last step for BTC to march toward 99k–103k is a clean break through 94,300.

Today's Trading

We have a potential range of 6850 to 6950, but practically speaking, we are likely trading 6875–6925.

GEX Profile

  • Upside: Above 6900 opens the move to 6925. Through 6925 targets 6950.
  • Downside: Below 6875 opens the move to 6850. Through 6850 targets 6825, and below there 6800.

Long Plan

  • Breakout: Above 6910 targets 6920–6925.
  • Extension: Above 6925 targets 6933, 6941. Above 6941 brings 6950. Through 6950, we can see 6970.
  • Dip Buy Zones: 6875 provides the best risk/return dip buy. Other retest levels of interest: 6884, 6868, 6856.

Short Plan

  • Breakdown: Below 6858 targets 6852, 6844.
  • Continuation: Below 6844 targets 6837 and 6826.
  • Flush: Below 6826 targets 6807, with 6819, 6814 as levels along the way.
VIX Levels13.74, 14.78, 15.29, 15.62
WatchlistOPEN, ACHR, COIN, BMNR, JOBY, OKLO, RGTI, DNUT
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